Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 18

Season: 87-108 (44.6%) · ROI: +0.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 8:10 PM
Prob
66.3%
Edge
+14.6%
+13.6% consensus
Odds
-107
Book
Stake
$75.81
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.7%
Edge
+10.9%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$48.32
Minnesota Twins home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 6:10 PM
Prob
65.8%
Edge
+10.2%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$57.63
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
51.1%
Edge
+9.5%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$40.60
Chicago White Sox away
vs Athletics · 8:05 PM
Prob
49.3%
Edge
+7.6%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$32.76
Updated 4:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice