Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 24

Season: 603-676 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Yankees · 10:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
San Diego Padres away
vs Miami Marlins · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Athletics away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
San Francisco Giants home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 2:15 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.10
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.9%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
-156
Book
Stake
$18.51
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.8%
+1.5% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$14.17
Updated 1:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice