Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 10

Season: 542-616 (46.8%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.9%
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$38.60
Texas Rangers home
vs Houston Astros · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$40.82
Athletics away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 12:15 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.9%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$20.89
Washington Nationals home
vs New York Yankees · 10:45 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.1%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$18.05
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Chicago White Sox home
vs Athletics · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
+1.0% consensus
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 1:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice