Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, May 21

Season: 292-331 (46.9%) · ROI: -1.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Boston Red Sox home
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
-144
Book
Stake
$29.06
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+136
Book
Stake
$14.17
Cincinnati Reds home
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Updated 11:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice