Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 22

Season: 587-667 (46.8%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+12.5%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$52.73
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 5:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Miami Marlins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Athletics away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.6%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$30.84
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs New York Mets · 6:10 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+5.9%
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$37.52
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$30.27
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Seattle Mariners · 7:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
San Diego Padres away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Texas Rangers home
vs Chicago White Sox · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 6:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice