Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 10

Season: 539-614 (46.8%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago Cubs away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
62.1%
Edge
+9.3%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$49.08
Boston Red Sox away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 12:15 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.9%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$20.89
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Miami Marlins · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Seattle Mariners away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.8%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$14.17
Kansas City Royals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Updated 5:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice