Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 28

Season: 165-178 (48.1%) · ROI: +0.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$39.02
Chicago White Sox home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$36.68
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Houston Astros away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Washington Nationals away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Athletics home
vs Kansas City Royals · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:07 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+0.4%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$2.40
Updated 12:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice