Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 5

Season: 360-417 (46.3%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$43.12
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:15 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
-122
Book
Stake
$49.26
Chicago White Sox away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+162
Book
Stake
$30.21
San Francisco Giants away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Houston Astros home
vs Athletics · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.9%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-106
Book
Stake
$14.95
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$6.24
Updated 9:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice