Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 17

Season: 560-630 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.9%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+188
Book
Stake
$41.81
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Chicago White Sox away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Detroit Tigers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Miami Marlins away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Minnesota Twins away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 8:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice