Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 28

Season: 471-545 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Athletics away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 7:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.6%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$56.49
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
-144
Book
Stake
$29.36
Colorado Rockies away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
45.0%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$14.29
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.9%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-156
Book
Stake
$18.51
Updated 2:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice