Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 4

Season: 508-582 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 3:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$21.57
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:08 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Minnesota Twins away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.6%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-158
Book
Stake
$16.70
Kansas City Royals home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 12:10 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+1.9%
+0.9% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$8.21
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Houston Astros · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
-106
Book
Stake
$9.50
Updated 5:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice