Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 3

Season: 505-581 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:08 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Houston Astros · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.9%
Odds
-107
Book
Stake
$20.02
Minnesota Twins away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:38 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+2.8%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$11.89
Kansas City Royals home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 12:10 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+0.6%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$2.58
Updated 3:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice