Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 9

Season: 534-614 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$46.32
Miami Marlins home
vs Seattle Mariners · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.6%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$35.81
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
-0.2%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$0.00
Updated 12:35 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice