Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 19

Season: 90-113 (44.3%) · ROI: +0.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:40 PM
Prob
70.5%
Edge
+17.0%
+16.4% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$91.38
Texas Rangers away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.5%
Edge
+16.3%
+15.7% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$72.88
Colorado Rockies home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
45.7%
Edge
+16.2%
+15.7% consensus
Odds
+240
Book
Stake
$57.55
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Miami Marlins · 5:40 PM
Prob
69.3%
Edge
+14.6%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$80.55
Athletics home
vs Chicago White Sox · 8:05 PM
Prob
70.6%
Edge
+11.4%
+10.6% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$69.68
Atlanta Braves away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
60.0%
Edge
+11.2%
+10.1% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$54.81
Detroit Tigers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:35 PM
Prob
54.7%
Edge
+10.2%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$45.97
New York Mets away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
56.4%
Edge
+9.9%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$46.17
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.2%
Edge
+8.4%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$37.92
Updated 5:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice