Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 27

Season: 623-692 (47.4%) · ROI: -2.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.7%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$52.87
Athletics home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$38.37
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Houston Astros away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+136
Book
Stake
$14.17
Atlanta Braves away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
41.5%
Edge
+2.8%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$11.39
Updated 2:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice