Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 15

Season: 410-470 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.0%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$49.88
Houston Astros home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.9%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$29.96
Miami Marlins away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
San Diego Padres away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Minnesota Twins away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
+0.7% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.4%
+0.7% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$6.24
Updated 1:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice