Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 18

Season: 421-489 (46.3%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Texas Rangers home
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Updated 9:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice