Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 15

Season: 256-295 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.3%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$37.55
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
San Diego Padres away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
New York Yankees away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.2%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
-148
Book
Stake
$25.75
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Boston Red Sox away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Texas Rangers away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Updated 7:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice