Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 20

Season: 578-652 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.3%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$43.12
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Minnesota Twins · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
Chicago White Sox away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
52.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$15.47
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.0%
Edge
+3.0%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Stake
$12.86
Athletics away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.5%
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$11.15
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
San Diego Padres away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Updated 12:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice