Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 16

Season: 411-475 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.2%
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$44.80
Miami Marlins away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
San Francisco Giants away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Cincinnati Reds home
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$22.93
San Diego Padres away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.2%
+0.6% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$5.38
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$4.47
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Updated 1:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice