Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 17

Season: 562-632 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Detroit Tigers · 2:07 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$26.92
Washington Nationals away
vs Athletics · 2:05 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Houston Astros home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 2:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice