Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 9

Season: 531-611 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Minnesota Twins · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+7.5% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Miami Marlins home
vs Seattle Mariners · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$34.02
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
67.8%
Edge
+5.8%
Odds
-163
Book
Stake
$38.42
Boston Red Sox away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Updated 4:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice