Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 16

Season: 263-303 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$37.50
Houston Astros home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.0%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$21.57
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.0%
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$30.27
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
Miami Marlins away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 4:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
San Diego Padres away
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.5%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$11.15
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 12:35 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice