Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 1

Season: 495-570 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Minnesota Twins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$46.77
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 12:10 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+5.9%
+5.2% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$37.52
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-160
Book
Stake
$14.89
Updated 12:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice