Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 14

Season: 73-91 (44.5%) · ROI: +1.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Seattle Mariners away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
69.9%
Edge
+16.0%
+15.5% consensus
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$86.76
Colorado Rockies away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+15.5%
+14.2% consensus
Odds
+153
Book
Stake
$64.05
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 4:35 PM
Prob
54.5%
Edge
+12.9%
+11.8% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$55.13
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
44.8%
Edge
+10.6%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+192
Book
Stake
$40.24
Miami Marlins away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
51.5%
Edge
+9.7%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$41.65
Texas Rangers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
64.5%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$50.54
Cincinnati Reds home
vs San Francisco Giants · 10:40 PM
Prob
56.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$31.75
Updated 2:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice