Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 19

Season: 90-113 (44.3%) · ROI: +0.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:40 PM
Prob
70.3%
Edge
+16.8%
+16.1% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$90.31
Colorado Rockies home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
46.1%
Edge
+16.7%
+16.1% consensus
Odds
+240
Book
Stake
$59.14
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Miami Marlins · 5:40 PM
Prob
70.0%
Edge
+15.2%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$84.19
Texas Rangers away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
59.2%
Edge
+14.9%
+14.4% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$66.96
Athletics home
vs Chicago White Sox · 8:05 PM
Prob
71.2%
Edge
+11.2%
+10.4% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$69.81
Detroit Tigers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+11.0%
+10.4% consensus
Odds
+124
Book
Stake
$49.66
Atlanta Braves away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
59.5%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$52.17
New York Mets away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
56.4%
Edge
+9.9%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$46.17
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
52.0%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$32.67
Updated 11:45 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice