Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 23

Season: 597-675 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 9:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Los Angeles Angels away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.2%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
-142
Book
Stake
$31.17
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Colorado Rockies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 8:10 PM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+3.4%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+205
Book
Stake
$12.77
Houston Astros away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+0.9% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+0.8%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$4.47
Updated 11:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice