Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 5

Season: 360-417 (46.3%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$43.12
Boston Red Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:15 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
San Francisco Giants away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Chicago White Sox away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Houston Astros home
vs Athletics · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$18.38
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 5:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice