Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 17

Season: 560-630 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.9%
+9.9% consensus
Odds
+188
Book
Stake
$41.81
Chicago White Sox away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
Washington Nationals away
vs Athletics · 2:05 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Detroit Tigers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.1%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-106
Book
Stake
$21.13
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Mets · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.10
Miami Marlins away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.5%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$11.15
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Minnesota Twins away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Houston Astros home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 10:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice