Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 12

Season: 65-77 (45.8%) · ROI: +4.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
57.8%
Edge
+20.8%
+20.2% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$82.60
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+19.0%
+18.2% consensus
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$81.80
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:35 PM
Prob
58.2%
Edge
+14.8%
+13.5% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$65.25
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
62.1%
Edge
+14.3%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$68.37
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:20 PM
Prob
50.0%
Edge
+12.3%
+11.7% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$49.28
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Boston Red Sox · 6:15 PM
Prob
59.2%
Edge
+11.6%
+10.6% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$55.27
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
42.4%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
+205
Book
Stake
$35.90
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:40 PM
Prob
68.8%
Edge
+8.8%
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$54.94
Washington Nationals away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 6:10 PM
Prob
43.0%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
+190
Book
Stake
$32.42
Updated 2:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice