Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 17

Season: 82-102 (44.6%) · ROI: +0.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing

Toronto Blue Jays away

vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM

Prob

55.0%

Edge

+9.3%

+8.5% consensus

Odds

+119

Book

Stake

$42.78

Colorado Rockies home

vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM

Prob

36.3%

Edge

+8.5%

+7.4% consensus

Odds

+260

Book

Stake

$29.57

Philadelphia Phillies home

vs Atlanta Braves · 10:40 PM

Prob

59.2%

Edge

+8.2%

Odds

-104

Book

Stake

$42.07

Washington Nationals home

vs San Francisco Giants · 10:45 PM

Prob

50.2%

Edge

+8.2%

+7.0% consensus

Odds

+138

Book

Stake

$35.33

Tampa Bay Rays away

vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:45 PM

Prob

51.7%

Edge

+6.8%

+6.1% consensus

Odds

+123

Book

Stake

$31.03

Updated 5:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice