Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jun 24

Season: 450-523 (46.3%) · ROI: -3.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+11.6%
+9.9% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$49.86
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
New York Yankees away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Seattle Mariners away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$18.79
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Houston Astros · 11:07 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+2.6%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$15.64
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-160
Book
Stake
$14.89
Updated 11:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice