Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 30

Season: 338-379 (47.1%) · ROI: -1.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.7%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$36.97
San Diego Padres away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Chicago White Sox home
vs Detroit Tigers · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$39.92
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Athletics home
vs New York Yankees · 2:05 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.1%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$18.05
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:10 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+4.0%
Odds
-168
Book
Stake
$26.69
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Houston Astros · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.5%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-113
Book
Stake
$13.36
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Seattle Mariners · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Texas Rangers home
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+0.4%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$2.40
Updated 11:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice