Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 15

Season: 73-95 (43.5%) · ROI: -0.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 4:35 PM
Prob
64.2%
Edge
+17.9%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$83.39
Cleveland Guardians away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 5:15 PM
Prob
67.9%
Edge
+17.0%
+16.1% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$86.49
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
61.1%
Edge
+13.9%
+13.4% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$65.83
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:40 PM
Prob
56.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$43.10
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
60.7%
Edge
+8.8%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$45.54
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
43.9%
Edge
+7.7%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+176
Book
Stake
$30.14
Updated 5:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice