Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 20

Season: 578-652 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs New York Mets · 11:40 PM
Prob
77.4%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
-210
Book
Stake
$75.01
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
-124
Book
Stake
$47.45
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
New York Yankees home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 11:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
+0.9% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 9:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice