Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 24

Season: 598-676 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
New York Yankees away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$35.69
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Colorado Rockies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 8:10 PM
Prob
33.3%
Edge
+4.3%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+245
Book
Stake
$15.29
Cincinnati Reds away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 7:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice