Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 21

Season: 433-506 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.5%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$43.94
New York Mets away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Chicago White Sox away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Athletics home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+4.0%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$23.45
Updated 8:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice