Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 30

Season: 484-560 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.7%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+124
Book
Stake
$39.10
New York Yankees home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+7.5%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$40.05
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 11:07 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$40.05
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Washington Nationals away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.3%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+148
Book
Stake
$22.28
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Updated 7:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice