Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 25

Season: 610-680 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Francisco Giants home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.9%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$53.51
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$24.14
Colorado Rockies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 6:10 PM
Prob
33.3%
Edge
+4.9%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+252
Book
Stake
$17.18
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
New York Yankees away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$18.38
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
-154
Book
Stake
$20.32
Minnesota Twins home
vs Athletics · 6:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$18.57
New York Mets home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 11:15 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+2.8%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$11.89
Chicago White Sox home
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Athletics away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Updated 1:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice