Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jun 17

Season: 416-481 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
Cincinnati Reds home
vs New York Mets · 4:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$40.82
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
San Diego Padres away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.6%
+5.4% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$30.84
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.6%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Stake
$15.62
Houston Astros home
vs Detroit Tigers · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Colorado Rockies away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+1.3%
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$5.32
Updated 7:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice