Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 4

Season: 509-582 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:08 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:38 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$15.31
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Houston Astros · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 1:40 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$7.44
Updated 10:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice