Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 24

Season: 598-676 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
San Diego Padres away
vs Miami Marlins · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Yankees · 10:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Colorado Rockies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 8:10 PM
Prob
33.3%
Edge
+4.3%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+245
Book
Stake
$15.29
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.2%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
-148
Book
Stake
$25.75
Athletics away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
San Francisco Giants home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 2:15 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.10
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 11:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice