Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 22

Season: 437-513 (46.0%) · ROI: -4.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
New York Yankees away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+0.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$2.49
Updated 5:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice