Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 22

Season: 103-128 (44.6%) · ROI: -0.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 6:10 PM
Prob
73.3%
Edge
+16.4%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$94.91
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.9%
Edge
+15.1%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$63.67
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Houston Astros · 5:10 PM
Prob
65.6%
Edge
+9.1%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$52.26
Updated 5:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice