Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 19

Season: 424-493 (46.2%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$39.02
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Washington Nationals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Minnesota Twins away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:45 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Atlanta Braves home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:15 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+4.1%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+148
Book
Stake
$17.25
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Updated 6:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice