Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 6

Season: 519-593 (46.7%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves home
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.2%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.26
Athletics away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Chicago White Sox home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Colorado Rockies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+4.7%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+217
Book
Stake
$17.07
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.4%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$17.80
Updated 2:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice