Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, May 4

Season: 210-231 (47.6%) · ROI: -1.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.6%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+185
Book
Stake
$40.64
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.0%
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$35.55
Boston Red Sox away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Houston Astros home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:10 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$29.39
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
San Diego Padres away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$37.50
Chicago White Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Colorado Rockies home
vs New York Mets · 9:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$7.53
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+0.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$2.49
Updated 4:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice