Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 24

Season: 606-677 (47.2%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Yankees · 10:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$18.38
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
San Francisco Giants home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 2:15 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.10
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.8%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$14.17
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-161
Book
Stake
$13.99
Updated 3:05 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice