Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 30

Season: 484-560 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.7%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$44.75
Washington Nationals away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 11:07 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+6.2%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$34.19
New York Yankees home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+5.8%
Odds
-123
Book
Stake
$32.24
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.6%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-158
Book
Stake
$16.70
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 2:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice