Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 24

Season: 598-676 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.2%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
-142
Book
Stake
$31.17
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Cincinnati Reds away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Updated 5:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice